Dems Tied Nationwide Again; Obama Surging to Lead in California, Even in New Jersey, Stalled in New York
Highlights of the latest numbers:
- Gallup says national Democratic voters prefer Clinton by 46% and Obama by 44%, a statistical tie.
- The latest California poll from Reuters/CSpan/Zogby has Obama at 45, Clinton at 41. Si se peude!
- Same poll has Hillary at 43 and Obama at 42 in New Jersey.
- In New York, on the other hand, nothing seems to be changing.
- Nothing new yet from Massachusetts.
Plugging all the numbers into my crude delegate spreadsheet (which I know is wrong but it's the best I can do), right now Hillary would get 1,060 delegates and Obama 965, with 63 delegates in jurisdictions with no polling yet.
Update heading out to the bar: Of course there's no Massachusetts update. Duh. No one would answer the fucking phone today. And if the Pats win, there may be no poll tomorrow either. Could be we have no clue what's happening in MA before the vote. Weird.







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